Slight Increase in Pending Home Sales Index

The “Pending Home Sales Index”, a forward-looking indicator based on nationswide contracts signed in May, increased 0.1 percent to 90.7 from an upwardly revised reading of 90.6 in April, and is 6.7 percent higher than May 2008 when it was 85.0. The last time there were four consecutive monthly gains was in October 2004.  To understand how this home sales index is calculated go to: http://www.realtor.org/research/research/phsdata

But, is this an indication of a recovery in the Portland home selling marketplace?  Homes ARE selling if they are priced to suggest a “steal or a deal” because homes that are NOT distressed must compete against homes that ARE distressed properties (meaning that sellers must simply sell for less than is currently owed on the property OR the property is bank-owned and has already been foreclosed).  But, if you subscribe to the theory that all sales are good sales because it continues to lessen the inventory then this is a positive indicator (or, at least, not bad news). 

Here are the 2009 Portland Oregon monthly stats for lockbox activity (monitors the number of home showings by Realtors in the Portland area) showing a definite spike in May and slight decrease in June (schools out and family vacations???)

Monthly Stats for lockbox activity for Oregon

Monthly Stats for lockbox activity for Oregon

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